Achaneni na watu ya Nairobi suburbs thinking they know it all. We still don't know anything for sure because new formations will undoubtedly emerge. Who knows how those formations will change the landscape.
At the moment, based on my inconsequential small village survey, Raila is likely to get a few more votes in Central from a few old wazees who claim better Raila and that Ruto will finish the Kikuyu. Clearly a group of people traumatized by the Moi error. The don't even consider that Moi's own son is in the Raila camp.
That said, there is an objectively bigger number that will vote for Ruto in Central. Some die hard, some just waiting to see.
As it will most likely pan out, Ruto and Raila will be the two horses and then you will either have a low voter turn out in Central, which is the most crucial voter block this election, or high voter turn out but split heavily.
This is a hard one to call.